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Future Sustainability Program |
Future Sustainability Program |
Completed Projects
Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management for Agriculture (CA)
2005-2006
SEI provided analyses of livestock and biofuel production as part of the Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture, and contributed to Part II: Trends and Scenarios.
Sustainable Urbanization in China
2005
SEI carried out work for the China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development (CCICED) on its Sustainable Urbanization Project. SEI was responsible for creating an integrating scenario component, including scenario narratives and quantification, to help inform the discussion about development alternatives for China with a mid to long term perspective.
Poverty and Growth
2005
A study was prepared for the Environment Department of the World Bank that evaluated the poverty and environmental implications of alternative economic growth assumptions. The study found that growth alone is not likely to meet poverty reduction goals, defined in the study as cutting hunger in half by the year 2025. At the same time, high growth futures will exacerbate environmental stress and uncertainty. The implication is that strategies to simultaneously meet reasonable social and environmental goals must include measures to improve distributional equity, not only between rich and poor countries, but also within countries. The results are presented in the report Is Growth Enough? (PDF format, less than 0.1 MB).
UNEP GEO Process
2004-2007
SEI contributed to the scenarios in UNEP’s GEO-3 and GEO-4 reports, and helped convene scenario exercises in the Caribbean (for five countries) and Honduras, and for North America as an input to the GEO process. SEI also contributed to Module 6: Scenario development and analysis of UNEP’s Integrated Environmental Assessment (IEA) Training Manual.
Global Scenario Group
1995-2002
SEI convened the GSG in 1995 as a distinguished multinational and interdisciplinary group to develop scenarios of alternative long-range futures. The diversity of regional backgrounds and experience helped address the normative and integrated character of the sustainability problem. The group crafted scientifically-based scenarios that convey how world development could branch in contrasting directions, some desirable and some not. Visit the GSG web site.
Sustainable Development in West Africa
1999
Working with our regional partner (ENDA-TM) we assessed sustainability issues in West Africa, and evaluated alternative scenarios. The results are presented in the report Sustainable Development in West Africa: Beginning the Process (PDF format, 0.7 MB)
Capacity Building in Vietnam
1999
SEI provided PoleStar to the National Environmental Agency and other governmental bodies in Vietnam and conducted a training on its use in the Vietnam context. To facilitate the training, a database reflecting current environmental, social and economic accounts was provided along with a scenario under conventional development conditions. Trainees refined the data and went on to develop scenarios that examine appropriate policy strategies. The results are presented in the report Description of Scenarios for Vietnam (PDF format, less than 0.1 MB).
Baltic 21
1998
The countries sharing the Baltic Sea joined together in a process to steer development in a sustainable direction. SEI synthesized sectoral assessments into an integrated picture of the region today and provided forward-looking scenarios. A vision for sustainability in the region was also developed. The results of this work were written up the Baltic 21 report Visions of Sustainability in the Baltic Sea Region: Beyond Conventional Development (PDF format, 0.2 MB).